November 11, 2010
Making an acronym that sounds like an actual word (aka: not MOFACASOSWWWW – Major Outbreak of Frigrid Air, Copious Amounts of Snow or Other Severe Winter Weather in Western Washington) actually took me a really long time. And I’m sorry I haven’t been updating this, the weather has been boring and I’ve been absolutely swamped with schoolwork. However, there could be some interesting weather on the horizon and the quarter just ended, meaning that although I still have a ton of college apps to do my schedule has lightened up slightly.
So, lets go through this scale.
LAWES level 0: You are on a planet that has the ingredients necessary for snow
LAWES level 1: Models are showing a chance of snow beyond a week out, 0-20% chance of snow
LAWES level 2: Models are showing a chance of snow within a week, 20-40% chance of snow
LAWES level 3: Models are all showing a scenario that would easily produce snow within a couple days, 40-60% chance of snow
LAWES level 4: Places around the area are already getting snow AND snow is forecasted for Seattle, 60-99 % chance of snow
LAWES level 5: Snow is occurring, 100% chance of snow (derp)
Now, notice how there are no measurements for how strong a Seattle snowstorm could be. But have no fear! That’s what suffixes are for.
.1 – 0-2 inches of snow
.2 – 2-4 inches of snow
.3 – 4-6 inches of snow
.4 – 6-8 inches of snow
.5 – over 8 inches of snow
.6 – board the next plane to Panama
So a level 5.6 (below) would mean that snow is occuring and that you should leave the country if possible. Photo props to Alex Jonlin. That storm brought 21.5 inches of snow to Seattle in 24 hours.
This model shows the weather forecast for a whopping 2 weeks out. That is way too far out to look at individual storms. However, you can look at trends. Here, the models show an arctic high diving into Western Washington and giving us cold air. That’s what all this fuss about snow is. We will see if it comes true!
Have a nice night!
P.S. The Garfield News Network needs another weatherman! If you are interested in the position, let me know, and we will see if you can get the spot!